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Michael Barone looks forward to 2010

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In the News

Michael Barone writes on the drastic shift in the 2010 Senate map since the beginning of the year, noting the uptick of vulnerable Dem incumbents.

"What I find interesting is that four of his top six seats are now held by Democrats (Delaware, Nevada, Connecticut, Colorado), while just two are held by Republicans (Missouri, Ohio). In three of those four Democratic seats incumbents are running for reelection, while just one (Delaware) is an open seat. In contrast, both Republican seats in the top six are open seats. In addition, seven of the top eleven seats in jeopardy are held by Democrats (in addition to those listed above Arkansas, Illinois, Pennsylvania), while just four are held by Republicans (in addition to those listed above New Hampshire, Kentucky). ... It sure is a different picture from what it was at the beginning of the year, when the same four Republican seats looked vulnerable (plus Specter’s, since he was then a Republican), while none of the seven Democratic seats Silver now lists among the 11 most vulnerable were thought to be to be at great risk, with the exception of Dodd’s seat in Connecticut and perhaps Bennet’s in Colorado. All of which, in addition to the results in tomorrow’s offyear elections, should make Democrats a little queasy.